Draft · work in progress

Sequencing proposal: what has the Great Dane gene pool kept?

October 14, 2026 · Not for distribution. Figures are expectations from recorded pedigrees.

Summary

We propose sequencing a chosen set of living Great Danes to measure how much of the breed's historical genetic diversity survives, and which dogs carry what is at risk. A pedigree analysis of 118,706 dogs shows that 58 ancestors supply half the genome of today's dogs, while 1,449 other old ancestors survive only as a trace, holding 1.3% of it. A pedigree can only predict who carries those lineages; sequencing would measure it.

We would choose the dogs for how much unheld ancestry each adds. At 100 dogs that holds 88 ancestor genome equivalents, against 74 for random dogs and 50 for the most-connected dogs. The result would give a preservation plan with specific dogs, matings and stored samples in it.

The question

Preservation breeders keep two things at once, and only one is rewarded. The breed standard describes a dog: type, structure, color. We preserve that by choosing who to breed, and the show ring checks it.

The other thing is the breed's genetic diversity, the range of variation that keeps a breed healthy and adaptable for generations. No ring checks it, and no single dog shows it.

The two are not opposed, but they can drift apart. The dogs that fit the standard best get used most, and heavy use of a few lines narrows the genome behind them. This proposal asks what the breed has kept, what it is losing, and which living dogs hold what is at risk. Sequencing is how we would find out.

What the pedigree already shows

A few dozen old lineages supply most of today's genome, and over a thousand more survive only as a trace. We measured this on a pedigree database of 118,706 Great Danes with birth years back to the 1950s. The living-dog stand-in is the 3,637 dogs born 2016 to 2020 with both parents recorded. We then asked which ancestors born before 1980 their genomes come from.

MeasureValue
Ancestors born before 1980 who appear in these dogs' pedigrees2,622
Equal-sized ancestors that would explain the same genomeabout 151
Ancestors supplying the first half of the genome58
Ancestors supplying 90% of the genome480
Ancestors present only as a trace (under a tenth of an equal share)1,449 (55%)
Genome share held by all of those trace ancestors together1.3%

Inbreeding points the same way. Across the 7,456 dogs born 2012 to 2020, average inbreeding on the full recorded pedigree is 12.6%, and half the dogs are above 12.5%, the level of a half-sibling mating.

These are expectations from recorded pedigrees. About 8% of the genome traces to unrecorded parents, so the true picture is somewhat less certain than the table suggests.

Relatedness here counts every shared ancestor across all recorded generations, not only close family. About half of a typical recent dog's genome (51%) comes from the same 58 old ancestors. The most-connected dog in the data gets 77% of its genome from them, higher than 99.8% of recent dogs. That is why it is as related as a half-sibling to 1,501 of 3,611 recent dogs, though only 6 are its own pups, siblings, aunts or uncles: it is built mostly from the ancestors that nearly every dog shares.

The Kinship Study counts ancestors a different way (any era, dogs born 2012 to 2020) and reports 21 ancestors for half of the gene pool. This page counts ancestors born before 1980 for dogs born 2016 to 2020 and gets 58. Both are real; they answer slightly different questions, and the pattern is the same: a small set of old dogs supplies half of the breed.

Why one dog is not enough

The Great Dane reference genome came from a single female named Zoey (Halo and others, PNAS 2021). The paper does not give her pedigree or say why she was chosen, so we cannot place her among the families on our map.

A reasonable guess is that she was chosen because she is clearly a Great Dane and answered the questions the authors had. That is a good reason for a first reference. A breed is also a population, though, and a reference genome serves it best when the dog is chosen to represent that population and to help the analysis of the dogs within it. The authors were probably not thinking of the Great Dane as a population of show dogs, but that is what most living Great Danes are, and their pedigrees are what let us choose with the population in view.

What we can show is how much the choice of one dog matters. In the 3,611 dogs born 2016 to 2020, the best-connected dog is related at the half-sibling level or closer to 1,501 of them (42%). A dog with the median reach is related to only 181 (5%). A single reference dog speaks for the breed only as far as its own family does, and the pedigree is what tells us how far that is.

This is a reason to record pedigrees for reference and sequenced dogs, and to choose them with the family structure in view. It is not a claim that the choice of Zoey was poor, because we do not know where she falls.

Which dogs to sequence

The dogs that tell us the most about the breed today are not the dogs that carry the most of its past, so we would pick for diversity. Picking the most-connected dogs retains about half as much ancestral diversity per dog as picking for it.

We scored each living-proxy dog by how much of each historical ancestor's genome it is expected to carry, then built the sample greedily: each pick is the dog that adds the most ancestry not yet held. The unit is an ancestor genome equivalent, where one fully unrelated dog counts as one. The 3,036 candidates with at least 90% known ancestry could together hold about 640.

Dogs sequencedPicked for diversityRandom dogsPicked as the most-connected
25242220
50474230
100887450
300218169not computed
900438342not computed

There is no small set that captures most of it. Half of the 640 takes about 525 dogs, because each lineage lives in a different dog. That shapes the plan: the first 50 to 100 dogs are the best value per dog, and every tier after that adds steadily.

The most-connected dogs (the ones that cover the most living relatives) are still the right choice for a different question, namely what the breed is like today. A sample could take both: a small set chosen for coverage of the living population, and the rest chosen for diversity.

Rare lineage sits in a minority of dogs. Among dogs with well-known pedigrees, the top 10% carry about 2.2 times the average amount, and the top 1% about 6 times.

What sequencing would answer that a pedigree cannot

A pedigree predicts how much of each ancestor a dog should carry. Sequencing measures how much it does carry. The gap between the two is the finding.

Pilot genome

One dog from our own program anchors the design: an assembled, public Great Dane genome linked to a deep pedigree. The rest of the sample is chosen by the pedigree scoring above, not by who we happen to own. One dog of ours is included because we can control the sample, the consent and the release, not because the scoring picked it, and the proposal says so.

The dog is Mia. By the pedigree she is at the 90th percentile of recent dogs for how much of her genome comes from the 58 key ancestors (71%, against 51% for the typical dog). She represents the core of the population. On rare-lineage score she sits at the 25th percentile, below the median of the cohort. She is not a rare-lineage dog, and we do not claim she is.

These are pedigree expectations, not measurements. A second pilot dog chosen for rare lineage would add what Mia does not.

Plan, samples, and budget

This section needs real quotes. Every price is blank on purpose.

ItemWhat is neededStatus
Number of dogsChosen from the tiers aboveTo decide
Sample typeCheek swab or blood, and who collects itTo decide
Sequencing depthLow-coverage across many dogs, or deeper on fewerNeeds lab advice
Cost per dogSequencing plus library prep plus shippingNeeds a quote
AnalysisVariant calling and the expected-versus-realized comparisonNeeds a collaborator
Owner consentLetters and a data-sharing agreement for each dogTo draft
Stored materialWhether semen or tissue from older dogs exists to sampleTo find out

The pedigree work already gives the dog list, ranked and screened for pedigree completeness, so the lab only needs to receive samples.

For the core lab: sample sheet

One row per dog for the pilot. Status cells are blank on purpose until each is confirmed.

DogRoleSequencingSampleOwner consent
MiaPilot dogLong reads (about 30x HiFi or ultra-long nanopore) plus scaffoldingFresh blood in EDTA for high-molecular-weight DNA. To confirmOurs. To confirm
RolexSire of Mia (optional)Short readsTo confirmTo confirm
PiperDam of Mia (optional)Short readsTo confirmTo confirm

What we would bring to the first conversation:

Limits and risks

Open decisions

Companion: The Living Great Dane Family Map, an interactive view of the same pedigree.